New blockbuster paper finds man-made CO2 is not the driver of
global warming
Thursday, August 30, 2012
An
important new paper published today in Global and Planetary Change finds
that changes in CO2 follow rather than lead global air surface temperature and
that "CO2 released from use
of fossil fuels have little influence on the observed changes in the amount of
atmospheric CO2" The paper finds the "overall global temperature change sequence of events
appears to be from 1) the ocean surface to 2) the land surface to 3) the lower
troposphere," in other words, the opposite of claims by global warming
alarmists that CO2 in the atmosphere drives land and ocean temperatures.
Instead, just as in the ice cores, CO2 levels are found to be a lagging effect
of ocean warming, not significantly related to man-made emissions, and not the
driver of warming. Prior research has shown infrared
radiation from greenhouse gases is incapable of warming the oceans, only
shortwave radiation from the Sun is capable of penetrating and heating the
oceans and thereby driving global surface temperatures.
The highlights of the paper are:
► The overall global temperature change
sequence of events appears to be from 1) the ocean surface to 2) the land
surface to 3) the lower troposphere.
► Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging about
11–12 months behind changes in global sea surface temperature.
► Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 9.5-10 months
behind changes in global air surface temperature.
► Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging about
9 months behind changes in global lower troposphere temperature.
► Changes in ocean temperatures appear to explain a substantial part of
the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 since January
1980.
► CO2 released
from use of fossil fuels have little influence on the observed changes in the
amount of atmospheric CO2, and changes in
atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emissions.
Figure 1: Annual temperature
change of global ocean temperatures, global surface temperature and
atmospheric CO2 December 1981 - December 2011. (Blue is the sea surface,
red is the global surface temperature, green is CO2 level in the
atmosphere). We see that the change in ocean temperatures (blue) occur
systematically before changes in CO2 (green). |
The
phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature
Abstract
Source:
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2012/08/new-blockbuster-paper-finds-man-made.html